Premier League flag
Today is the day, the culmination of bowls, we have a gorgeous day of weather ahead and what should be some cracking games around the grounds, no less than at South Perth. Who will win and gain their place in the grand final tomorrow? Let's have a look at the match ups
SOUTH PERTH v DOUBLEVIEW - 9.30am @ South Perth Sat 6th

SOUTH PERTH
J Opie, B Manton, T Kinnane, K Pride
N Griffin, T Antonio, A Durrant, M Biglin
S Walker, N Reagan, T Reid, F Anderson
G Pauling, A Sharp, D Downey, M Cranswick
INS: A Durrant
OUTS: D Mortley

DOUBLEVIEW
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:

South Perth finished on top of the ladder and get the Saturday to earn their spot and make a bit of coin over the bar as well. They have 2 shots at home and you would think they are certainties to make it to the big dance. They have an exceptionally good home record only losing twice their this season, to Cambridge and Osborne Park, and in the corresponding fixture against Doubleview which I think was played on a Friday night, won by 10 shots in Round 6, courtesy of Ash Sharp who won by that margin who is not skippering any more.
Doubleview finished the season like a freight train winning 6 of their last 7 to almost gain top spot and the home ground advantage but that controversial loss away to Warnbro has cost them that top spot. But as mentioned above it was a tight loss when they played here earlier in the season and they would feel that their current momentum can bridge that 10 shot gap in this game. In face their current skipper configuration has won 9 of their past 11 so they are white hot.
So who to select? It was remiss of me not to mention the run home form of South Perth who have 7 of their last 8, interestingly their only loss was against Doubleview albeit on the grass of the View, but they are also in some seriously good form. Being played at South Perth it's going to be very hard to go against them and I think they will win the early game and progress to the grand final tomorrow in what should be a cracking game of bowls.
South Perth 6-2

KARDINYA v CAMBRIDGE - 9.30am @ South Perth Sat 6th

KARDINYA
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:

CAMBRIDGE
S Perica, N Lewis, D Jones, H Christensen
C Adams, P Harris, C Wooldridge, L Bolton
D Opie, S Rushforth, A Foster, D Leeson
L Strahan, C Harris, N Bolton, R Bolton
INS: No change
OUTS:

Our other morning game sees Kardinya playing Cambridge, the loser of which is out and the winner progressing to play the winner of the other game in the afternoon. Kardinya have been the team to beat all year but have faltered a bit in the run home, only winning 4 of their last 10 games and probably the team least in form entering the playoffs, but having seen them first hand last week they really wanted to win and displayed ruthless tendencies to put Bassendean to the sword which will hold them well for this weekend. All those losses have also come away from home as well, they have lost 6 in a row including South Perth who beat them by 28 shots at this venue a couple of months ago, so they really need to beat that away hoo doo
Cambridge finished 4th but looked down and out until the inclusion of Pieter Harris has given them the spark they need and they have won their last 5 games to leap into the and kicking out Manning who looked the most likely to Round 16 to make it. It's interesting that the Harris inclusion hasn't done much to the rink he joined of Clive Admas who has 2 of those 5 games, but he gives the team depth and more balance and this is a very settled and experienced team. when they last played at South Perth they won, beating The Millers by 7 shots and on 3 rinks. Of course the surface is the same which they will know and the surface at South Perth plays no tricks and very good to play on.
So who wins? I know in my tippoing in selected Kardinya to win the whole thing but now I have been able to sit down and do some analysis I am swaying a bit. On paper I think they Kardy side has a better 4 skippers than Cambridge does, not by much mind you but it is a very solid backend Kardinya has and the front ends also match up quite well. I'll stick with Kardinya in a nail biter, last bowls of the game stuff I think as I think they are driven by a desire to win. But will not be surprised at all if I see the Cambridge Knights progress to the afternoon game.
Kardinya 6-2

The winner of South Perth/Doubleview will proceed to the Grand Final, the loser will play the winner of Kardinya/Cambridge at 12.30pm. The winner of that game will also proceed to the grand final on Sunday 10am @ Yokine

One White flag
MOSMAN PARK v NORTH BEACH1 - 9.30am @ Mosman Park Sat 6th

MOSMAN PARK
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
IN:
OUT:

NORTH BEACH1
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
IN:
OUT:

You would remember that only last Saturday these two teams played each other at Mosman Park, with the Mossies running out winners, but not without a fight from The Blues.
The Blue boys will return on Saturday morning to try and win through to gain promotion for next year. As this game will be played in the morning the green may be different to last week, and so this will not help North Beach.
There will be some great clashes anyway, with most of the top skips and teams coming from these two clubs. In fact the top five are, in order, McGinlay, Walker, Wishart, Kuzelia, and McKenna.
I reckon the Mossies can win this one.
Mosman Park. 6-2

KARDINYA v WANNEROO - 9.30am @ Mosman Park Sat 6th

KARDINYA
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
IN:
OUT:

WANNEROO
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
IN:
OUT:

A bit hard to judge this one, as the Roos form has been very poor lately, even losing at home last week. So, the Kats also lost away from home, so we can't get much of a pointer from last week.
Maybe the Kats will have too much experience through their ranks.
But, on the other hand, the Roos have much more to play for, as I understand it, the Kats cannot be promoted, as they already have a Premier League side.
Wanneroo. 6-2

The winner of Mosman Park/north Beach will proceed to the Grand Final, the loser will play the winner of Kardinya/Wanneroo at 12.30pm. The winner of that game will also proceed to the grand final on Sunday 10am @ Yokine

The finalists on Sunday should be North Beach and Mosman Park. The Mossies for me, to cap off a very good season.
One Blue flag
How the excitement builds over the week when there is something big to play for. Teams are selected, extra practice is applied in the days before the game to sharpen the skills. The skills got you here but in many occasions its the head will get you the rest of the way and pressure builds substantially.
This week we'll review the 4 games from Pennant final (Basso v Cockburn for Pennant) to the Challenge Playoffs (Doubleview v South Perth chance to go 1 White), then Kalamunda and Wanneroo (to stay in 1 Blue).

BASSENDEAN v COCKBURN - 10am @ Yokine Sunday 7th

BASSENDEAN
J Krstic, T Lynch, W Davidson, N Kirkup
R Revell, P Madigan, G Stokes, D Snelgar
E O'Sullivan, B Dinnison, B Maynard, T Alden
M Erceg, P Hutchinson, A Cacciopolli, J Holman
INS:
OUTS:

COCKBURN
W Tepania, P Brotherston, D Ravlich, J Wray
Marko Krajancic, J Ricci, J Wylie, G Powell
S Srhoy, M Zusman, A Edwards, B Blagaich
K Wylie, I Mateljak, J Ravlich, M Armstrong
INS:
OUTS:

Lets start with the Basso v Cockburn. The 2 bid hitting teams that have caused teams all sorts of problems this year and now they go head to head to see who's really the King of 1 Blue.
If this was played at Basso I would say Lions without putting too much effort into the preview but its now at Yokine with the other 1 Blue game. Although I have little knowledge of Cockburn this year so forgive me if I see things incorrectly. The advantage on paper maybe carries here as Yokine will have the greens running slick and that should play for Basso. Cockburn have turned their new home into a fortress and neither team have been close to losing at home, especially Cockburn who have hammered most teams by huge scores. Cockburn away are a little softer than Basso running 2 shots behind them on away scoring averages and have lost one more on the road than Basso so pretty even.
Where Basso start to gain the advantage is the backend talent where more skippers finished top 10 than Cockburn. Basso had all 4 skippers in the Top 10 and Cockburn had only 1 who with Marevich's rink and that's probably enough to have when you win 14 of 16 and posted up a SD of 179 shots!!! You could look at the skippers ladder a number of ways saying the Cockburn skippers played less games than Basso but average is similar or 1 Blue South was a weaker Division so there was more blow-out scores or Basso had the easier Division....who knows. If I can be subjective I'm going to say South was easier than North this year, purely based on the huge FOR scores posted by the top teams. Only 1 Blue North team posted 1,500 shots+ (South Perth) and very few over 1,450, yet South had nearly the Top 4 posting well above 1,500 shots or maybe they are just better players scoring more.....we'll see Saturday! What we do know that if you took Marevich's 179 shots off the teams total of 297 that's only about 40 shots to share between the other 3 skippers which is below average for a team that finishes top of 1 Blue.
Overall I think Basso are the better balance but Cockburn could easily put this game away in a few ends if Basso let them. If Basso can get Revell or O'Sullivan on Marevich and contain that blow out, the Lions have a serious chance of cruising this one home.

Bassendean

A bit difficult to pick this game at Yokine on Sunday morning, as these guys would never have played each other in a pennant game.
But, maybe the Roosters just might get up in a thriller against the Basso sixteen.
Both sides are chock full of experience and guile, with a good sprinkling of ex Premier League players.

Cockburn 6-2


CHALLENGE GAMES

Blue North to White

DOUBLEVIEW v SOUTH PERTH - 9.30am @ Yokine Sat 6th

DOUBLEVIEW
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:

SOUTH PERTH
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:
For the Promotion/Challenge finals, unsure how you categorise these games as 1 team is playing for promotion in the morning and the winner plays a team that could be demoted...lets go with Promotion playoffs as it's relevant to 1 Blue in that context.
Here we have Doubleview v South Perth on Saturday morning at Yokine with the loser having an early shower and the winner grabbing lunch, quick rest and ripping into a huge game v Spearwood who would love to stay up in 1 White.
DB v Millers is a repeat of R16 where Millers took The View apart in many games as were 1 bowl short of taking the full 8pts so Doubleview will approach this one very differently and surely won't get caught on the hop like that again.
The game itself at Yokine probably favours Doubleview given the fast grass and I'm sure it will be extra fast come Saturday. However South Perth were only over at Yokine 2 weeks ago so they'll be comfortable with the greens to a certain degree. Both teams are very evenly matched across the board with some top qulaity front ends to big hitting and high scoring back ends so this game could swing eitherway and is very difficult to call. So who is the better team.......clearly on table position its South Perth. Not just on the 5 pt spread on total points but also with 160 shots more on SD & a huge 13 more rink wins. However, The View have only lost 5 games all season against South Perth's 7 which shows how difficult their are to break down. The reason they can get away with finishing 3rd by only winning 1 more rink than Kalmunda (7th) or 2 more than Wanneroo (8th) who are playing challenge games to survive only highlights the importance of Herriot and Johnson all year where they provided some big wins to carry the Agg.
This will highlight exactly where the Millers need to focus, although if Nelson comes back after missing last week then it will be very difficult to contain 3 skippers of that quality. If Millers contain Herriot and Johnson like they did in R16 then I would imagine it could be a repeat of R16. Speaking of skippering quality The View have a similar reverse role in containing the likes of Roelofs, who will take serious beating and then there's Bandy who a Top5 skipper and McRae who can run a number on you over a handful of ends. Backing that up is the very capable Petrich who hasn't played much as skipper this year but the quality is there as he's only lost 3 games all season which puts him in Roelofs territory.
Doubleview found a pearler in Wetzler last week and continuing that form would be huge for him and Langdon only narrowly lost to Roelofs in R16, so he's playing well. Lets not forget that The View beat South Perth at home in R7 which few have achieved. Very tough call here but if I need to call it, in typical fashion I'm going with the stats on these hard calls. South Perth have more points, more rinks and can score for fun but if The View's big names put on a clinic then its anyone's.
Winner plays Spearwood. I don't know a lot about them so lets stick with the stats on this one. Some folks have mentioned that the hard game for 1 Blue is in the morning but I tend to disagree. Spearwood came up from 1 Blue last year so talent wise it's probably similar to both DB & SP. However 1 White has being very competitive this year and Spearwood have being ridiculously close to finishing in a very safe zone this year so probably count themselves unlucky to be here playing for survival. Yes they have only won 5 games all season but they have lost 6 games by 6 shots or less running a -1, -2, -2, -2, -4, -6. Any change in those results would have them safe. They also had a huge R18 win away at North Beach against 9th spot with the loser received automatic demotion. They won well with the danger man being Unkovich putting up a huge 27 shot victory to carry the Agg. If the 1 Blue representative can contain Nadilo and Unkovich I think they will go a long way in securing promotion.

The winner will play Spearwood at 12.30pm


SPEARWOOD
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
IN:
OUT:

Blue South to White

ROSSMOYNE v LEEMING - 9.30AM @ Manning Sat 6th

ROSSMOYNE
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:

LEEMING
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:
The Leeming Lions will do battle with the Rossmoyne Rivers Rats at Manning on Saturday morning, with the winner to play Stirling on Sunday. The winner will play Stirling on Sunday, with prize being a spot in First White next year, should they beat the Wolves. On Saturday I reckon the Lions, if at full strength, will beat the River Rats. Both sides have had very good years, and both sides possess some good players and great skips. Skips like Gollen, Lang, Vandersluys, Newton, to just name four, are all capable of playing in Premier League. There are also many fine players at both clubs, who could do the same, without any doubt.
Leeming Lions. 6-2

This leaves the game on Sunday at Manning on grass. If the Wolves are motivated, they will be competitive, if not they may get skittled badly. Whether it be the Lions or the River Rats, I believe Stirling will lose.
Leeming or Rossmoyne 7-1

The Winner will play Stirling at 12.30pm

STIRLING
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
IN:
OUT:

2 Blue to 1 Blue North

The winner of Sorrento v Bedford will play Wanneroo at 12.30pm @ Osborne Park Sat 6th
WANNEROO
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:
For Wanneroo they have that 8th place challenge game v Sorrento1 (2 Blue-2nd) or Bedford (2 Blue-3rd) at Osborne Park. Sorrento1 might be the easy choice since they finished on 108.5pts with only losing 4 games and a massive 132 shot SD with 3 skippers in the Top 7. Generally speaking that's probably a slightly broader spread in Sorrento's side where as Bedford do have a heavy reliance on Carlsen. Bedford just lost by 1 shot in R8 v Sorrento and corresponding fixture gave Sorrento the edge again as they won by 10 shots. There was 15 points in the final standings so it is Sorrento for me, especially when they have the luxury of picking 48 players from a 2 Blue fixture. The only concern for Sorrento is how they dealt with the massive game in R18 where they had automatic promotion in their hands, sitting aloft on the top all season but dropped a clanger 7-1 v Mt Lawley to leave them in this position.
So lets say its a Wanneroo v Sorrento afternoon....can the Roo's hold tight and maintain that good momentum they have brought over the last few weeks when the chips were done.....possibly but it's going to be tough?! They'll probably prefer the grass a little over Sorrento although they have played there in R13 but it didn't go too well. It will be tricky for the Roo's to avoid the conflict here as both 2 Blue sides will be throwing everything at them. They can of course easily combat any rival on recent form but which Wanneroo will show tomorrow. If they are not firing then it's Sorrento for me.

2 Gold to 1 Blue North

The winner of Joondalup v Sorrento will play Kalamunda at 12.30pm @ Osborne Park Sat 6th

KALAMUNDA
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:
For Kalamunda they have that 7th place challenge game v Joondalup (2 Gold-2nd) or Sorrento 3 (2 Gold-3rd) at Osborne Park. Yes you read that right Sorrento 3!!! Sorrento have 3 teams in Div 2 which is a fair achievement and shows the broad level of talent and numbers over there at the moment.
Kalamunda are slightly unlucky to be here but close games do not get you points so here we are. So who might meet the Cougars in the big game, Joondalup or Sorrento 3......stats say Joondalup by some distance. Although they have only 2.5pt spread on the final ladder but 14% spread on SD, they hammered every Sorrento team this year, that's both Sorrento 2 and Sorrento 3 TWICE, for 4 Sorrento wins in 1 season and beat the top team Quinns Rock at home by 12 shots to pinch 2nd spot on death in R18. Having the wood over them means nothing now and in the end they only finished 2.5pts ahead after all the heroics so there's merit in plenty of other Sorrento 3 performances. Sorrento are leaning heavy on Orton and Anderson but Joondalup also have the seasoned Leggett's and Hunter so plenty to like about both back-ends.
Let's say Joondalup go forward to the afternoon. The matchup with Kalamunda will be very interesting as where Joondalup have Orton and Kalamunda have Gosstray. There was a lot to like about Kalamunda and we have covered them plenty over the weeks so it's without thought that I will back them home from here. They have the quality to stay up in 1 Blue and have showed that on numerous occasions throughout the year. They will have a very tough game irrespective of who they get but there should be enough fire power to over come the situation.

2 Red to 1 Blue South

The winner of Rockingham v Warnbro will play Gosnells at 12.30pm @ Melville Sat 6th
Rockingham play Warnbro on Saturday morning at Melville.
Both of these sides are coming from Synthetic greens, so no advantage there for either side.
I think that Warnbro may just get up in a close one.
Warnbro 7-1


GOSNELLS
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:
The winner of Gosnells v Willetton will play Hilton Park at 12.30pm @ Melville Sat 6th
In a few words, I believe the Kookas will survive and get to play in Blue South again next year, should be a close game though.
Gosnells. 7-1

2 White to 1 Blue South

The winner of Gosnells v Willetton will play Hilton Park at 12.30pm @ Melville Sat 6th
Gosnells will play Willeton at Melville on Saturday, with both sides once again coming off synthetic greens.
I don't know a heck of a lot about either side, but it is the Willetton clubs top side, and they do have some very experienced players that I recognise. Dodge, Reynolds, Maxwell, Strickland, Southgate, Tipping, to just mention a few.
Willeton 7-1

HILTON PARK
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
, , ,
INS:
OUTS:
On Sunday the winner will play Hilton Park on the grass at Melville.
I believe that the Hilton Hawks will romp this game in, as they have had a reasonable year in what has been testing times for them.
Hilton 7-1