Alcolizer

Wow R5 already?!! Time is flying. It did spark a memory of that R6 prediction table we ran last year & if I get the chance I’ll try my best to issue that after R6 but there’s a significant amount of calculations built into the predictions over the corresponding 12 rounds. In hindsight, last year we predicted the Top 4 perfectly but switched 3rd & 4th. However looking back I’m not sure I would of changed much as COVID disrupted the final 2 results. We also got 3 of the bottom 4 correct & only missed 1 mid table result so overall it worked out quite well from a R6 prediction & not exactly a R16 prediction.
Watch this space & let’s see what the crystal ball comes up with....
Disclaimer: wild ass random guessing is nothing to get your knickers in a twist over so let’s keep it fun.

WARWICK v KARDINYA

WARWICK
G Hinge, G Smith, M Golding, R Loran
L Hill, B McNamara, D Herbert, J Konig
B Ledingham, C Boyle, K Pearce, D Dunstan
J Borkowski, A Hornby, A Henneker, I Sparrowhawk
IN: J Konig
OUT: V Giuffre

KARDINYA
S Vinci, D Wood, S Back, M Holt
N Ball, J Rochford, R McNamara, W Lee
C Stokes, C Booth, R Knapp, G Knight
W Bezant, G Fewings, B Regan, J Edgar
IN: R Knapp
OUT: G Wake

The Magpies will be screaming for a big W this week in a 16ptr with the Kats. A loss for either side leaves them in a tough position with a lot of work to be done between now & the Xmas break.
The Kats are brewing for a big win & this just might be their break out Round. Yes a few loses along the way but nothing overly alarming as they’ve have some tough home draws.
If the matchups stay as selected in Bowls WA, it will be very interesting as it’s leaving that 1 Rink blowout front & centre on the table. If the Kats were travelling better I’d be happy to give them a good chance but I do think Ledingham or Borkowski are overdue a big home win to carry the Agg.
Warwick 6 - 2

WANNEROO v WARNBRO

WANNEROO
D Turra, E Widermanski, B Nelson, B McMurdo
K Toster, D Griffin, R Humphryson, H Whitman
H Ward, M Nievelstein, G Sarich, B Bucowski
D Triffitt, N Palmer, J Tailor, G Jack
IN: L Bryson
OUT: D Turra

WARNBRO
K Cousens, L Kellow, M Rae, P Guelfi
D Pattullo, G Watts, W Baker, J Maley
L Strange, Dr G Jackson, A Shone, D Phillips
S Mawdsley, K Bancroft, M McGloin, D Kitson
IN: J Ghijsen
OUT: W Baker

Pretty simple equation for both sides, the winner stays or goes top, either way top spot is up for grabs in this huge match-up & easily game of the Round if not game of the season right here folks.
If I could insert neon signs & emojis this is the game I’d nominate. I’ll do my best to attend this one as it’s sure to be a humdinger. It’s somewhat pointless of both sides approaching this as a 1 White game. This is PL or bust, show up or zip-it.....the gloves are off this Round.
Turra returns & echo drops to backend support & he’ll need all the shots from last weekend too because this is another level.
I’ll be honest & state that the stats are calling the Wizards & I can’t necessarily find too much wrong in their offering but I’m ever so siding with the home side, only because they’ve done well at home with the big games over the last 2 years. I’ve have no doubt that the winner of this game has a very high percentage chance of playing PL next season, R5 or not it’s a certainty in my eyes. Good luck to all & enjoy a wonderful event & showcase for 1White.
Wanneroo 6 - 2

QUINNS ROCKS v SAFETY BAY

QUINNS ROCKS
C Parr, P Wernicke, L Johnson, S Newbey
R Cantrill, A Barker, J Gibson, R Thomas
M Hinchcliffe, S Cooper, C Bartle, S Cavanagh
J Berecz, B Crawford, W Fairjones, S Smith
IN: P Wernicke, S Cooper
OUT: P Quick, S Myers

SAFETY BAY
C Owen, R Kennedy, P Daynes, G Wilkes
C Carruthers, J Radford, S Hide, S Foran
G Taylor, A Freeman, G Ogg, J Hanafee
R Hall, A Holmes, J Thorington, S McBriar
IN: R Hall
OUT: Z Boddy

The Rocks are heading for the proverbial if they can’t grab the home W from the Bay. Sitting 8th & 1 from 4 isn’t the start they dreamed of but most of the games were close. Although close gets you no cigar & I doubt the Bay will be offering Cohiba’s this weekend.
Hall is an interesting in for The Bay & could be telling so let’s see what that matchup brings. Other than that I doubt think Safety Bay have any other changes. Quinns have 2 but minor tweaks to try & tighten things up. They do play well at home so this will be very close, expected single digits Agg. which could swing either way but form carries for me.
Safety Bay 6 - 2

MOSMAN PARK v BASSENDEAN

MOSMAN PARK
S Edmonds, L Beurteaux, D Adams, M Van Bemmel
D Marsland, M Robertson, G Hagan, T Massang
S Jocelyn, A Gryta, M Cranswick, O Dawson
C Hoffman, T Cranswick, W Tan, R Kershaw
IN: G Hagan, T Massang
OUT: S Swanson, P Fair

BASSENDEAN
E O'Sullivan, P Madigan, H Goddard, T Alden
R Revell, J Morss, G Stokes, T Parravicini
T Lynch, R Ellis, B Tie, N Kirkup
M Erceg, A Caccioppoli, G Needs, D Snelgar
IN: No change
OUT:

Unsure if the Mossies are reverse counting the points of what gets them into Finals but surely they’ve a W on this round or they’ll be not looking to cash in their return ticket to the PL. Mosman Park will hit their strapes soon enough but going into Xmas may be 5 & 9 won’t be where they planned on sitting come Santa season. I’m saying that they have 2 away trips down the Kwinana so that’s why I’m discounting the pre-Xmas run. However, I’m seeing them run late in March’21 but I’ll cover that next week.
The Mossies do impose another 2 changes on the front ends to tweak the support for the back end so let’s see what this brings but it’s low risk at home so it should pay off.
Basso are the quite achievers so far this season. Sitting 4th but should be 3rd losing the squeeze by The Bays ridiculous home scoring. So this is a big game for the Lions & the Mossies surely will give them enough respect knowing that even beating them probably will still leave Mosman Park under Basso after this round. Basso have only lost 1 game so far & that was merited against a top side where all rinks were single digits. Tough game for both sides & a real dog fight but very interested to see the result on this one.
Mosman Park 6 - 2

OSBORNE PARK v GOSNELLS

OSBORNE PARK
J Carter, B Boyd, A Pasalich, R Clark
M Pasalich, P Allen, R Wemm, F Di Giuseppe
L Bell, C Fleay, J Minchin, R Herbert
M Dewson, S Pasalich, R Stockton, I Bryden
IN: F DiGiuseppe
OUT: B Poggi

GOSNELLS
G Nicol, S Harris, N Tulett, D Bradbury
B Holland, G Lynch, T Auckland, M Rickard
E Gahan, P Gale, M Crabb, C Watters
F Carbone, P Deas, C Hickinbotham, I Farley
IN: S Harris
OUT: R McKay

Gosnells know they need to pack away these opportunities if they are to stay in the chase for a Finals spot. Yes winning the first 2 was a great start but 2 from 5 won't have the same ring to it if they lose against the Saints. Unsure what's happening with the Saints as the selections are changing again this week as they struggle to find momentum. We did hear Giuseppe was coming back after recovering well but we weren't expecting him until R7. Even though he's only a lead this Round, he'll surely be able to provide some strength to Pasalich's side. We would expect to see him back skippering by R7 & if he can find last years form it will surely bring an X factor to the Saints. Fleahy is also back after only having his first game last week so another few weeks will help him build back into form. The Saints are probably still 1 or 2 short of where they need to be but Gosnells can rest assured that this won't be as easy as the table positions suggest.
I’m going with form but throwing a Nicol to the wind here & I won’t be surprised if the Saints pull this one off.
Gosnells 6 - 2